Saturday, October 17, 2015

Lessons India Needs to Learn From Seriyan Crisis

Why almost every country which has stakes in global geopolitics is involve in some way or the other in the seriyan conflict. Mention of U.S.A specifically is a waste of time I think because since after world war that is one country which in the root of every conflict directly or in directly and reasons and conditions of their involvement is no longer a secret.
                  However involvement of Russia is indeed a bold move by Putin and it will have far reaching effects in time to come. Russian involvement has acted as a game changer to so far an orchestrated war on terror like activity by U.S and its western allies has turned into a real war on terror.  Although it is hard to tell what kind of terror Americans are fighting because American argument of removing Assad because he is a tyrant dictators is like alligator saying that he is going vegetarian. U.S.A has a long history of supporting dictators(Saddam Hussain, Ayub Khan, Yayha Khan, Pervez Musshraf etc etc.) and Monarchies like Saudi Arabia which are quite brutal in their conduct of governance. So it is quite clear that Americas call for human right rises in countries and against the regimes which act opposite to American agenda. The whole so called Arab spring is in itself is a classic example of this where every govt. or dictator was toppled in the name of democracy with the help of U.S.A but amazingly every time the rebel group was a hardliner jihadi group like muslim brother hood in Egypt and yet America present it self as the champion of anti terror war and ironically every one believes that.
                          Rise of ISIS in itself is pretty amazing, one day a rebel group among many groups fighting in seriya next day worlds richest most powerful and fearsome terror group controlling a one third of Iraq and half of Seriya. A group so brutal that it make Al-Quida look like a band of boys. ISIS fighters are trained like U.S paratroopers and navy seals capable of routing State Armies armed with Tanks, Helicopter Gunships and Missiles. All this clearly could not happen in a day or even 10 years unless a major world power is providing the funds weapons and training and given the facts that ISIS arsenals of weapons contains more American weapons than Russian and the its expansion of territory even after the claimed Air campaign that U.S and its allies are conducting since last 4 years its pretty amazing that they are still capturing towns after towns and cities after cities, something seems fishy specially when after the involvement of Russia the same group is on the run so either Russians better fighters then Americans or Americans were not even fighting ISIS.
                          Now in the backdrop of this information we need to think that what every one is doing In Seriya. U.S  is there for another puppet state like Iraq and Afganistan and it has with the involvement of Russia has now became a matter or pried of the worlds only superpower.
Whats in it for Russia??? After the fall of Iraq Assad is the only Russian ally in that region, Its like a gateway to Russia and It's fall will means the end of Tatrus Naval base of Russia and hence any Russian Military presence in middle east. Now it woulden't have been such a big issue has Russia and west have been on a cordial note as they were a few years ago but since the annexation Creamea things are different now U.S determination to dominate Russia in its own neighborhood and treat it like a third world country and Russia's willingness to regain the lost pride and position in Global power play has changed the situation.
                        In short we can say that every country is fighting for their pride and position trying to keep the battle field away from their own borders and safeguarding their peoples interest before any one else's.
                      You must be wondering what India can take away from all this. There is a lot, for instance we need to learn that we need to fight for our country and safe guard our national interest first and than think about the stability of Pakistan. We need to take the battle away from our boundaries to the door steps of our enemies and so far we have done just the opposite we fight in side our boundaries. Most of all we need to have goals which we want to achieve and then a plan short term and long term both to achieve that a strategy a policy to act upon which we do not have. We are not even clear if we want the whole Kashmier or just the part we control, do we really want our land back from China or we just want to defend what we have so that China cannot take any more.
On the other hand our opponents have clear objective, Pakistan want whole of Kashmier and China wants whole of Arunanchal Pradesh and they are relently perusing their agenda improveing their strategies through trial and error testing new tactics every year, and unfortunately to a large extent they are successful. So we need to learn the game of geopolitics and shed the pacifism of Nehru era which was disastrous for us then and is even today we need to proactively start acting like a regional superpower taking responsibilities creating an sphere of influence in our neighborhood and we most definitely should not let small countries like Srilanka, Nepal, Bangladesh and Maldievs threaten us this reflect very badly on India and most definitely we should ensure that India have significant influence over these countries Govt. and policies that's the only way we can secure our boundaries.
We should learn to use our gigantic armed forces for effect because 1.3 million strong army if not used for power projection is nothing but a big waste of money and man power which we cannot afford so we should use this strong army, formidable navy and effective airforce for power projection and as an instrument to achieve our nonstrategic goals in near far.
We must remember that in war winning is everything.             

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