Saturday, October 17, 2015

Lessons India Needs to Learn From Seriyan Crisis

Why almost every country which has stakes in global geopolitics is involve in some way or the other in the seriyan conflict. Mention of U.S.A specifically is a waste of time I think because since after world war that is one country which in the root of every conflict directly or in directly and reasons and conditions of their involvement is no longer a secret.
                  However involvement of Russia is indeed a bold move by Putin and it will have far reaching effects in time to come. Russian involvement has acted as a game changer to so far an orchestrated war on terror like activity by U.S and its western allies has turned into a real war on terror.  Although it is hard to tell what kind of terror Americans are fighting because American argument of removing Assad because he is a tyrant dictators is like alligator saying that he is going vegetarian. U.S.A has a long history of supporting dictators(Saddam Hussain, Ayub Khan, Yayha Khan, Pervez Musshraf etc etc.) and Monarchies like Saudi Arabia which are quite brutal in their conduct of governance. So it is quite clear that Americas call for human right rises in countries and against the regimes which act opposite to American agenda. The whole so called Arab spring is in itself is a classic example of this where every govt. or dictator was toppled in the name of democracy with the help of U.S.A but amazingly every time the rebel group was a hardliner jihadi group like muslim brother hood in Egypt and yet America present it self as the champion of anti terror war and ironically every one believes that.
                          Rise of ISIS in itself is pretty amazing, one day a rebel group among many groups fighting in seriya next day worlds richest most powerful and fearsome terror group controlling a one third of Iraq and half of Seriya. A group so brutal that it make Al-Quida look like a band of boys. ISIS fighters are trained like U.S paratroopers and navy seals capable of routing State Armies armed with Tanks, Helicopter Gunships and Missiles. All this clearly could not happen in a day or even 10 years unless a major world power is providing the funds weapons and training and given the facts that ISIS arsenals of weapons contains more American weapons than Russian and the its expansion of territory even after the claimed Air campaign that U.S and its allies are conducting since last 4 years its pretty amazing that they are still capturing towns after towns and cities after cities, something seems fishy specially when after the involvement of Russia the same group is on the run so either Russians better fighters then Americans or Americans were not even fighting ISIS.
                          Now in the backdrop of this information we need to think that what every one is doing In Seriya. U.S  is there for another puppet state like Iraq and Afganistan and it has with the involvement of Russia has now became a matter or pried of the worlds only superpower.
Whats in it for Russia??? After the fall of Iraq Assad is the only Russian ally in that region, Its like a gateway to Russia and It's fall will means the end of Tatrus Naval base of Russia and hence any Russian Military presence in middle east. Now it woulden't have been such a big issue has Russia and west have been on a cordial note as they were a few years ago but since the annexation Creamea things are different now U.S determination to dominate Russia in its own neighborhood and treat it like a third world country and Russia's willingness to regain the lost pride and position in Global power play has changed the situation.
                        In short we can say that every country is fighting for their pride and position trying to keep the battle field away from their own borders and safeguarding their peoples interest before any one else's.
                      You must be wondering what India can take away from all this. There is a lot, for instance we need to learn that we need to fight for our country and safe guard our national interest first and than think about the stability of Pakistan. We need to take the battle away from our boundaries to the door steps of our enemies and so far we have done just the opposite we fight in side our boundaries. Most of all we need to have goals which we want to achieve and then a plan short term and long term both to achieve that a strategy a policy to act upon which we do not have. We are not even clear if we want the whole Kashmier or just the part we control, do we really want our land back from China or we just want to defend what we have so that China cannot take any more.
On the other hand our opponents have clear objective, Pakistan want whole of Kashmier and China wants whole of Arunanchal Pradesh and they are relently perusing their agenda improveing their strategies through trial and error testing new tactics every year, and unfortunately to a large extent they are successful. So we need to learn the game of geopolitics and shed the pacifism of Nehru era which was disastrous for us then and is even today we need to proactively start acting like a regional superpower taking responsibilities creating an sphere of influence in our neighborhood and we most definitely should not let small countries like Srilanka, Nepal, Bangladesh and Maldievs threaten us this reflect very badly on India and most definitely we should ensure that India have significant influence over these countries Govt. and policies that's the only way we can secure our boundaries.
We should learn to use our gigantic armed forces for effect because 1.3 million strong army if not used for power projection is nothing but a big waste of money and man power which we cannot afford so we should use this strong army, formidable navy and effective airforce for power projection and as an instrument to achieve our nonstrategic goals in near far.
We must remember that in war winning is everything.             

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Drama+Anarchy + Dharna = Arvind Kejriwal

This new act of disrespect of constitution of India and law and order by Arvind Kejriwal is clearly because of certain reasons which are clearly evident in the wake of recent loaksabha election...........................
After been defeated collectively by people even though every party concentrated their firepower on Narendra Modi all the parties were left with only speculative allegations as new Govt. has not started its full function just yet so when all the parties were busy regrouping for their coming assault on Narendra ModI as prime minister. Arvind Kejriwal initiated his Delhi vidhan sabha campaign in trade mark style of creating a controversy as he need something to start a dharna    to kick start his election campaign as with the victory of Narendra Modi and crushing defeat of AAP in Delhi even Arvind Kejriwal was left with no doubts that there is a Modi wave and if in current situation he will go for elections he will face yet again a crushing defeat in his former strong hold.
                           Kejriwal's move is not a random move but a very thoroughly calculated move, he knows that in Delhi there is a big lot of youngsters who are not so well aware of legal procedures and are moved by emotions more than practical approach so he decided to play victim even though he is not a victim but an arrogant anarchist who believes in "my way or the highway" kind of attitude because in this case of defamation when in court asked him to present any proof or argument in support of his claims that Nitin Gadkari is corrupt he was silent so court asked him to sign a bail bond which is a standard procedure as he stands accused in that case because it is a case filled against him however showing his disregard for court he denied to do that and then according to standard procedure court send him to jail in judicial custody till 23rd may now in this incidence who has done any wrong doing against him  . He knows very well that if there is any chance of him to even partially gain his lost ground in Delhi then it depends upon how successfully he can mobilize the emotional section of the population so by doing that he will have a good chance to become a respectable second in Delhi which will save his otherwise drowned career in politics. This is an unnecessary drama done to grab media attention and to blame it on BJP as i have seen many AAP members blaming BJP govt. which is not yet officially functional and not to forget that in Delhi Lt. Governor is calling the shots as of now coz there is no Govt.
                       Kejriwal is forgetting one thing though that people of Delhi have had first hand experience of his drama and dharna tactics and they have rejected it in Loak Sabha election and will reject it again in Vidhan Sabha.   

Monday, April 21, 2014

SEEK THE TRUTH BEFORE BELIEVING A PROPAGANDA OF AAP AGAINST NARENDRA MODI

Recently i came across a new propaganda campaign of AAP it was amazing to see the capacity of the people to get fooled by false allegations as no one bothers to cross check that whether there is any substantial fact behind the claim or not....................... for example the recent attacks on Modi's Gujraat development model by AAP supporters is based on the debt of Gujraat they are giving some very high numerical figures in terms of overall debt and also in the breakup of per capita debt or debt revenue ratio or debt percentage with respect to GDP of the state these are all few reference ratios and as we all know economy is not as absolute as science or mathematics because everything is referential. 
So keeping that in mind we need to analyse the situation with a vigilant mind and keep a clear reference frame in this article it will be debt to development however before proceeding to that i will shed some light on some of the ratios mentioned above for the sake of comparison at later stages.

1) According to planning commission  in 2001-02,the public debt of Gujarat was 38.78% of GSDP. There is is a steady decline in debt over the years and the Budget Data shows that revised estimates of Public Debt for 2012-13 was at 19.93% of GSDP. Debt.
 The Interest payment on the debt as a percentage of revenue receipts also has been on a constant decline, from 26.82% in 2004-05 to 14.52% in 2012-13.

2) The ratio of total public debt as a percentage of total revenue receipts is considered to be one of the parameters for evaluating the sustainability of debt. As per the review of Fiscal Reform Facility by Ministry of Finance (MoF), a benchmark of 3 for this ratio indicates that the State is highly stressed in terms of debt and debt servicing. In case of Gujarat the total debt to total revenue receipts is showing a declining trend indicating an improved debt sustainability of the State, This ratio dropped from 2.86 in 2004-05 to 1.83 in 2012-13 emphasizing that Gujarat’s debt is well sustainable.

3) And as we are discussing Gujraat so critically  it would be interesting to examine the situation at the center. The Public debt of the Central Government was an astronomical Rs 44, 68,714 crore, or 49.8% of the GDP. In contrast Gujarat’s public debt was Rs 1, 38,978 crore or 19.93% of GDP. An IMF Report estimated India’s debt to GDP Ratio as 68.05%, thus making it the highest among the BRIC countries. Further, High debt to GDP ratio tends to dampen the credit worthiness of our economy. Viewing its increasing debt, Fitch had cut India’s outlook to negative from stable in the recent past. 

Well after i reached mid-way of my discussion i realized that I never heard Arvind Kejriwal or any of his supporters criticizing central Govt on these technical issues in such detail as they are trying on Modi and Gujraat Model of Development................................. 
Any ways these were few points on which economy is judged normally small technical details of which most of the public is mostly unaware ................... now i will come to the main comparison............................................. 

Following is the list of top 10 countries which are considered economic superpowers of the world however don't mistake the rankings with their wealth as the list and the ranking is based on their external debt.
RankCountryExternal debt[US dollars
Per capita]% of GDP]
1 United States17,344,649,888,999
52,170106
2 United Kingdom10,090,000,000,000
160,158406
3 Germany5,719,000,000,000
57,755142
4 France5,275,000,000,000
74,619182
5 Japan3,024,000,000,000
24,00060
6 China3,000,000,000,000
2,220.5737.5
7 Netherlands2,655,489,600,000
226,503344
8 Luxembourg[note 1]2,643,000,000,000
3,696,4673,443
9 Italy2,460,000,000,000
36,841108
10 Spain2,290,000,000,000
52,045167
External Debt is the debt that a Govt. owns to the  creditors outside the country i.e Govt. of other countries, corporate houses based in other countries or a non residential individual.
To make my point more clear i will give another list for the second aspect of my reference frame i.e development So following is the list of top 10 developed countries by Human development Index.

Rank
Country

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

7

9

10


  The idea behind this comparison must been clear to those who have in depth knowledge of economy. The point is if debt is the criteria to refute the development then how come the countries in above two lists are in both the lists simultaneously on more or less the same ranking it is impossible by the logic of AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal because according to him there is no development in Gujraat as there is so much debt on Gujraat so according to him there is absolutely no development in USA or UK or JAPAN for that reason ................................... but unfortunately(for AAP supporters) Arvind Kejriwal is not an authority on this issue( thanks to God).
                              However it does not means that debt is a guarantee  of development, no not at all. But we need to understand that money when invested properly gives profit and it doesn't matter if it's your or its a loan and if you can make enough profit to pay back the interest and debt by using it wisely debt will no longer be a liability it will become a tool to expand the operational capability of the organization as we have seen in the new liberalized economy.   
           Gujraat to it's credit have devised a brilliant development model by improvising on an already tested model over the years which is way much better than its western counterparts............................................................ SO DON'T FALL PREY TO FALSE PROPAGANDA LOOK FOR THE TRUTH YOUR SELF.
                                     In the End I thank you all for reading my views and I invite every one to kindly give your opinion and feed backs. I would appreciate a logical and fact based criticism. I believe in learning from everyone so help me with my learning.                                                                                               JAI HIND 

Thursday, April 17, 2014

FOR THOSE WHO SAY NARENDRA MODI IS COMMUNAL

"Lets defeat Communal Politics - Lets defeat Narendra Modi." this statement in itself showcase the bias thought process of those who are opposing Narendra Modi as Narendra Modi is only 12 years old in active politics and BJP is only 25 years.
                      Community cast and religion based politics is very old in India and dirtiest phase was initiated by the British and was carried forward by congress and muslim league itself.Inclusion of the  the word "SECULAR"  in the preamble was a part of the same communal politics which self acclaimed secular people hate so much.................... there was no need to highlight any such word as India was a secular state from the beaning and was not declared as a hindu or islamic state like pakistan and that was pricisily the reason that those learned gentlemen who framed the most extensive and inclusive constitution of the world chose not to specifically highlight this phenomenon as they knew the repercussions  ................................. talking of Narendra Modi  i just want to say one thing that whatever his ideologies are he is doing a marvelous job as Gujraat is the only state which has seen 12 consecutive peaceful years without even a smallest communal clash and it's not like this is due to his fear had that been the reason we would have been seeing a large scale migration of muslim population from gujraat but there is no such thing happening the reason is that in gujraat rule of law prevails and there is no discrimination so everybody gets equal opportunity to do business and prosper  ............................ if you can't see that or decide to bypass this fact then my dear friend it would be hard for any logical person to believe the legitimacy of your claim. Last but not the least I am really surprised to see that when some one speak against Narendra Modi he/she gets a lots of attention irrespective of whether that person is a Hindu, Muslim or a Christian however when someone speaks in favor of Narendra Modi then reactions are different, for example:
1) If the person is a hindu he/she is tagged as communal and a right wing extremist .
2) If the person is christian/sikh/parsi he/she is tagged as biased or sold or uninformed. depending upon the        level of support.
3) If by chance the person is a muslim his/her statement or actions will be ignored overall by the self                 acclaimed secular people no tagging but no acknowledgement as well.
                   Amazing isn't it so my friends ponder over it and let me know your views.................... will be back soon with a new thought.
                         

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

मुसलमानों की निष्ठा का इतिहास और वर्तमान

जब से आज़म खान का कारगिल की लड़ाई पर मुसलमानों को ले कर  बयान आया है।  तब से   मुसलमानों की देशभक्ति पर बेहेस छिड़ गयी है । अब ऐसा नहीं है की भारत में देशभक्त मुसलमान नहीं हुए अशफाक उल्लाह खान जैसे बहुत से नाम हैं जिन पर हर भारत वासी को गर्व है और आज भी वीर अब्दुल हमीद की बहादुरी पर भी भारत को गर्व है।  और पूर्व राष्ट्रपति डॉक्टर अब्दुलकलाम तो मेरे जीवन आदर्श हैं।
                  इन सब बातों को याद करने का कारन ये बताना है की देशभक्ति किसी पंथ की मोहताज नहीं है।  अब जो में कहने जा रहा हूँ वो बात कड़वी है पर सोच कर देखिएगा सच है।
                   शुरू से ही पाकिस्तान भारत से नफरत करता है ये बात किसी से छुपी नहीं है लेकिन ये बात लगता है सब भूल गए  हैं की जिन्होंने पाकिस्तान माँगा और देश का बंटवारा करवाया वो भारत के ही मुसलमान थे ईरान या सऊदी अरब से नहीं आये थे और ये बात भी सच है की १९४७ में मुसलमानों की ९० % आबादी पाकिस्तान चाहती थी तभी ये बंटवारा संभव हुआ और आज़ादी की लड़ाई के दौरान जब सब साथ मिल कर लड़ रहे थे कोई सपने में भी नहीं सोच सकता होगा की जब आज़ादी मिलने का समय आएगा तो वो ऐसे बदल जायेंगे।
                               आज़ादी के ६५ साल बाद भी उस मानसिकता में जादा बदलाव नहीं आया है उदहारण हैं कश्मीर में मुसलमानों का भारत से विरोध और पाकिस्तान से लगाव।  एक और उदहारण है १६ दिसंबर २०१३ को अख़बारों में खबर आई की रामेश्वरम के गावों में हिन्दुओं का प्रवेश वर्जित कर दिया   गया था।  और अकबरउद्दीन ओवैसी जैसे लोगों का इतना बड़ा जनाधार इस बात का उदहारण है की आज के हालत १९४७ से कहीं ज़यदा ख़राब हैं भारत के संविधान को भारत की सीमाओं में चुनौती मिल रही है अफज़ल गुरु जैसे आतंकवादिओं के मृत्युदंड पर आंसू बहाये जा रहे हैं उनकी और उनके परिवारों की भावनाओं का हवाला दे कर उन शहीदों का अपमान किया जा रहा है जिन्हों ने अपनी जान दे कर ऐसे आतंकवादिओं से देश की रक्षा की और उन भारतीओं का अपमान किया जा रहा है जो आतंकवाद का शिकार हुए।  क्या ये मानसिकता देशभक्तों की होती है ?????????????
                             ये सच है की भारत में बहुत से मुसलमान राष्ट्र भक्त हैं परन्तु ये भी एक कटु सत्य है की ऐसे रष्ट्रभक्तों की गिनती बहुत कम है।  आज भी भारत में ज़यदा गिनती उन मुसलमानों की है जो  मुल्क से पहले कौम के वफादार हैं।
                             मुसलमानों को आज ये शिकायत है की उनको शक की नज़रों से देखा जाता है।  में व्यक्तिगत सोच की बात नहीं करता वो सबकी भिन्न होती है।  बात सामाजिक स्तर पर सोच की है क्यूंकि व्यक्ति का समाज के दबाव में आ जाना आम बात है।  क्यूंकि बड़ी हिम्मत चाहिए समाज के विरुद्ध जा कर सत्य का साथ देने के लिए और सत्य ये है की बहुत से मुसलमानों ने व्यक्तिगत स्तर पर तो राष्ट्रभक्ति के उच्चतम उदहारण प्रस्तुत किये हैं जो सभी भारतियों के लिए प्रेरणा का स्त्रोत्र हैं परन्तु सामाजिक स्तर पर जो उदहारण हैं वो भारत के बंटवारे और पाकिस्तान, बांग्लादेश में हिन्दुओं पर बर्बर अत्यचार और मानवाधिकार हनन के हैं। गोधरा काण्ड को भी हिन्दू समाज भूल नहीं सका है जो बिना किसी उकसावे के किया गया कृत्या था और असम में हिन्दुओं का नरसंहार की यादें भी ताज़ा हैं।  
                     अगर मुसलमानोंको ये लगता है की भारत में उनके साथ अत्यचार हुआ है तो ज़रा पाकिस्तान में हिन्दुओं की हालत देखें फिर बोलेन जितनी आज़ादी उन्हें हिंदुस्तान में है उतनी तो सऊदी अरब में नहीं है न ही अमेरिका में हैं।  इसलिए पहले भरोसा करना सीखें और सामाजिक स्तर पर खुद में बदलाव लाएं बिना दबाव या बहकावे ए हुए तथ्यों का आकलन करें और दूसरों के नज़रिये को समझने की कोशिश करें सत्य को पहचानें और भारत के हितों को सर्वोपरि मान कर कर्म करें तभी आप अखंड भारत के निर्माण में योगदान दे पाएंगे अन्यथा एक और पाकिस्तान बनाने की कोशिशों के औज़ार बन के रह जायेंगे।
                                                       वन्दे मातरम।  

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

What "AAP" wants

kejriwal has done nothing but to divert the public anger from congress and its corruption AAP has been persuing the agenda from the beginning the biggest example is Delhi..................... 4 states went to elections 3 voted BJP to majority and 1 (Delhi) voted BJP to be the largest party however BJP fell short of 4 seats even then congress was wiped out and people of Delhi made it very clear that they do not want congress even near the administrative establishments in any way. Their first choice was BJP with 32 seats and second choice was AAP with 28 seats...............
                          BJP was not able to form the govt. as they did not have the majority and were ready to go to re-election despite of the chances that they might get the majority or AAP might get the majority but under any circumstances congress was gone for good bu AAP then decides to form a minority govt. with the outside support of congress and ensured that no reelection can take place in Delhi before the loak sabha polls .......................... and then when they achieved their objective they quit so they can peruse the this agenda to stop BJP at all cost and divert public anger from corrupt and anti national activities of congress on a larger scale. So all that AAP wants is to stop the BJP from attaining majority figures of 272 so that if not congress no stable govt. can be formed and we all know what happens when there is a hung parliament..................... it always goes to the benefit of congress  we have witnessed it for many times during 1977 general election then almost the whole decade of 90's was ruined do to the power hunger of congress as country was burdened by 4 re-elections as congress first supported a number of parties and then withdrawn its support from 2 govt. just to stop BJP from forming the Govt. ...................................................... So my dear friends do not wast u r votes by voting regional parties or parties like AAP as every vote not given to BJP will go to congress in some way or the other................................. its the final battle so vote for no one else but for Narendra Modi and destroy the corrupt congress don't let it survive destruction of congress will be a first major blow to corruption and then we will deal with the other issues later ........................................ think again think hard it's time to get rid of congress

Monday, September 23, 2013

Is Secularism That Important ??????????

Congress supporters.............................or I'd rather say NARENDRA MODI haters because they are from different political patronage are trying to propagate many misconceptions about Narendra Modi like he is a dictator, communal and a hardliner...................but when u will ask about any substantial logic and proof in favor of these claims all they have to offer is 2002 riots and nothing else......................now i wonder the ppl who are ready to overlook 55 years of divide and rule agenda of congress and its allies, corruption and violence..................ineffective foreign policy...............they are not ready to let go of one incidence of 2002 riots despite of the harmony and peace of 11 consecutive years in Gujraat under Narendra Modi/B.J.P rule..................................and the basis of this blind following is the so called communal vs secular paradigm..........................now it might seems shocking to my friends but i have a question that is secularism is that big a phenomenon that whole country can be sacrificed for it, for instance if china will occupy or capture the north east and Pakistan captures kashmier, will secularism help us defend our land.........................besides i thing India is sufficiently secular and we dont need any more debate on that our constitution is good enough for that.........................what we really need to focus is development, sound economic policies and an effective foreign policy, anti corruption laws..............................because so far the debate over communal and secular has done nothing but fuel dividing factors..............and all the real issues are pushed in the back seat due to this debate.............................tell me how many countries have the word secular in their constitution..................even U.S.A does not have this word superficially in their constitution....................are those countries not living with peace or are there not incidence of violence in the name of cast, creed or religion...............................these things co exist but we need to decide as to which issue should be given more importance at what time and in current situation this should not even be the last thing on the list to be discussed because all these things exists if India exists and we remain free then we will have plenty of time for this.............................................but trust me my friends if we carry on like this for another 10 years we will loose our Identity as an Indian leave alone hindu or muslim...................................for some their community may be more important than their country but for those who give more importance to country than community its time to rethink........................................just remember what happened to jews  when they didn't have a country of their own they were hunted, killed and disrespected by every community in every country and there are no exceptions so now see how hard they defend their home called ISREAL...................................lets hope we dont face the same situation